Usefulness of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation, as a Strong Predictor of Heart Failure and Death in Patients With Native Left-Sided Infective Endocarditis




Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in adults and has been independently related to increased morbidity and mortality. AF is a frequent arrhythmia in infective endocarditis (IE). Nevertheless, there are no data on how AF affects the clinical outcome of patients with endocarditis. Our purpose was to investigate patient characteristics, microbiology, echocardiographic findings, in-hospital course, and prognosis of patients with IE who develop new-onset AF (NAF) and compare them with those who remained in sinus rhythm (SR) or had previous AF (PAF). From 1997 to 2014, 507 consecutive patients with native left-sided IE were prospectively recruited at 3 tertiary care centers. We distinguished 3 groups according to the type of baseline heart rhythm during hospitalization and previous history of AF: NAF group (n = 52), patients with no previous history of AF and who were diagnosed as having NAF during hospitalization; SR group (n = 380), patients who remained in SR; and PAF group (n = 75), patients with PAF. Patients with NAF were older than those who remained in SR (68.3 vs 59.6 years, p <0.001). At admission, heart failure was more common in NAF group (53% vs 34.3%, p <0.001), whereas stroke (p = 0.427) was equally frequent in all groups. During hospitalization, embolic events occurred similarly (p = 0.411). In the multivariate analysis, NAF was independently associated with heart failure (odds ratio 3.56, p <0.01) and mortality (odds ratio 1.91, p = 0.04). In conclusion, the occurrence of NAF in patients with IE was strongly associated with heart failure and higher in-hospital mortality independently from other relevant clinical variables.


Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in adults and has been independently related to increased morbidity and mortality. It is also well known the association between new-onset AF (NAF) and mortality in patients hospitalized with severe sepsis or heart failure. Systemic inflammation and hemodynamic disorders have been involved in the origin and perpetuation of AF in these clinical scenarios. Infective endocarditis (IE) is a severe infectious disease producing a great systemic inflammatory reaction and local valve destruction leading to severe hemodynamic changes. Not surprisingly, AF is common in IE, sometimes coexisting with heart failure and systemic embolism. Nevertheless, there are no data on how AF affects the clinical outcome of patients with IE. We hypothesized that patients with IE and NAF have a worse clinical outcome than those who remain in sinus rhythm (SR). Patients with NAF might be particularly prone to congestive heart failure and thromboembolic events ( Figure 1 ). The purpose of this study was to investigate patient characteristics, microbiology, and echocardiographic findings of patients with IE and NAF. We further aim to compare the in-hospital course and prognosis of patients who develop de novo AF with that of those who remained in SR or had previous AF (PAF).




Figure 1


Main hypothesis of the study. Patients with IE who develop AF might be prone to heart failure and embolic events and therefore higher mortality. Em = embolism; HF = heart failure.


Methods


This study was conducted at 3 tertiary care centers with surgical facilities, which have been working together on IE with the use of standardized protocols. To ensure consecutive enrollment, all patients who underwent echocardiography to rule out IE were clinically followed until a diagnosis was established. Only definite cases of left-sided IE were included. Duke criteria were applied until 2002 and modified Duke criteria thereafter. Right-sided episodes were excluded because of their different epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and prognosis.


From 1997 to 2014, 926 consecutive patients with left-sided IE were prospectively recruited on an ongoing multipurpose database, 110 patients (11.9%) of them were excluded from the analysis because of inability to assess the baseline heart rhythm during hospitalization. Patients with prosthetic valve endocarditis were also excluded from the study (309 patients). The remaining 507 patients with native left-sided IE formed our final study population.


This registry complies with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the local ethical committee. All participants gave written informed consent. The proportion of missing data was <10% in all analyzed variables. For purposes of analysis and comparison, we distinguished 3 groups according to the type of baseline heart rhythm during hospitalization and previous history of AF: NAF group (n = 52), patients with no previous history of AF and who were diagnosed as having NAF during hospitalization; SR group (n = 380), patients without a history of PAF, who remained in SR and who did not suffer AF during hospitalization; and PAF group (n = 75) included patients with PAF (permanent, paroxysmal, or persistent). Those patients who developed postoperative AF after surgery for IE were not considered as NAF.


All patients underwent transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiography. A set of 3 blood cultures was obtained at admission and 3 additional blood cultures 48 to 72 hours later. If blood cultures were negative after 72 hours, specific serologic tests were done for Chlamydia , Brucella , Q fever, Legionella , Mycoplasma , and Bartonella .


Nosocomial and community-acquired IE were defined according to the study. Acute onset IE was applied when the time between the appearance of symptoms and hospital admission was <15 days. Previous valvulopathy was defined as any kind of valvular heart disease and congenital valvular disease. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin concentration below 9 g/dl; renal insufficiency was established when the serum creatinine concentration was >2 mg/dl. Heart failure was diagnosed according to Framingham criteria. Under the term of immunosuppression were included patients with human immunodeficiency virus and those who were on steroids or other immunosuppressive therapy. Persistent signs of infection and septic shock were defined as previously described. The diagnosis of systemic embolism was based on clinical signs and data derived from imaging procedures.


NAF was defined when AF was registered in a 12-lead electrocardiogram done during hospitalization in a patient with previously documented SR and no previous history of AF. Paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent AF were defined according to the guidelines.


The echocardiographic criteria used for definition and measurement of vegetations, abscesses, pseudoaneurysms, and fistulas have been described elsewhere. Left atrial dimension was measured in M mode and 2-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography after the recommendations of the American Society of Echocardiography.


Surgery was defined as early if done before antibiotic treatment was completed and was performed when any of the following occurred: refractory heart failure, recurrent embolism with persistent vegetations in the echocardiogram, persistent signs of infection, and fungal endocarditis. When a patient meeting surgical criteria did not undergo surgery, the reason was either because of patient rejection, unacceptably high surgical risk, or when the patient was too frail.


Continuous variables are reported as a mean value and SD or median and interquartile range in cases of nonnormality. Continuous variables were compared between the groups with a 2-tailed Student t test or Mann–Whitney U test when necessary. Categorical variables are expressed as a frequency and percentage and were compared with the chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test when appropriate. In case of multiple categories, analysis of variance or Kruskal–Wallis test were used.


Two multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed, one for prediction of mortality and another for detection of independent factors for heart failure. We included in the model the variables previously known to be associated to these events and those considered clinically relevant. When a variable statistically significant in the univariate analysis was not included in the multivariate analysis, the reason was collinearity or absence of change in the effect of AF. In addition, interactions between variables included in the model were assessed in the model. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs for each variable have been calculated. All test were 2-tailed, and the differences were considered statistically significant at p values <0.05. Statistical analysis was performed with PASW Statistics, version 17.0, (SPSS Inc. Chicago, Illinois).




Results


Demographic characteristics, co-morbidities, and clinical presentation comparisons between groups are summarized in Table 1 . Patients with NAF were older than those who remained in SR. Concerning co-morbidities, chronic renal failure, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were more common in NAF group than in SR group. At admission, heart failure and their radiological manifestations were more common in NAF group, whereas stroke and systemic embolism were equally present in all groups. Interestingly, blood levels of acute phase reactants at admission (C-reactive protein) were higher in patients with NAF ( Table 1 ).



Table 1

Demographic and main clinical characteristics, electrocardiographic, radiological, and laboratory findings at admission in 507 patients with native left-sided infective endocarditis































































































































































































































NAF
(n=52)
SR
(n=380)
PAF
(n= 75)
p
Age (years) 68.3 (10.2) 59.6 (16.2) 68.9 (12.1) <0.001
Male 36 (69%) 259 (68.2%) 44 (59%) 0.260
Community-acquired IE 33 (64%) 297 (78.6%) 44 (59%) 0.002
Previous valvulopathy 27 (54%) 154 (43.6%) 59 (80%) <0.001
Anemia 12 (23%) 76 (20.2%) 23 (31%) 0.135
Chronic renal failure 10 (19%) 34 (9%) 11 (15%) 0.047
Diabetes 15 (29%) 67 (17.8%) 20 (27%) 0.057
Alcoholism 6 (12%) 41 (10.9%) 7 (9.3%) 0.903
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 7 (14%) 20 (5.3%) 11 (15%) 0.005
Malignant neoplasia 6 (12%) 43 (11.4%) 11 (15%) 0.721
Immunosuppression 4 (8%) 31 (8.2%) 8 (11%) 0.776
Symptoms to admission (days) 12.5 (7-57) 20.5 (7-60) 20 (7-35) 0.497
Acute onset (<15days) 26 (50%) 145 (38.7%) 33 (44%) 0.241
Fever at admittance 32 (63%) 281 (75.5%) 53 (72%) 0.138
Heart failure 27 (53%) 129 (34.3%) 38 (51%) 0.003
Acute renal failure 16 (31%) 73 (19.5%) 13 (17%) 0.131
Septic shock 6 (12%) 17 (4.6%) 7 (9%) 0.108
Chest pain 5 (10%) 38 (10.2%) 7 (9%) 0.968
Abdominal pain 5 (10%) 43 (11.6%) 6 (8%) 0.631
Splenomegaly 4 (8%) 39 (10.5%) 4 (5%) 0.063
Confusional syndrome 11 (21%) 52 (13.9%) 12 (16%) 0.376
Coma 2 (4%) 11 (2.9%) 2 (3%) 0.923
Stroke 0.427
Hemorrhagic 1 (2%) 13 (3.5%) 2 (3%)
Ischemic 7 (14%) 47 (12.5%) 4 (5%)
Systemic embolism 9 (17%) 85 (22.5%) 11 (15%) 0.248
Hematuria 4 (8%) 14 (3.7%) 1 (1%) 0.181
Arthritis/Spondylodiscitis 5 (10%) 66 (17.7%) 6 (8%) 0.052
Anticoagulation 11 (24.4%) 23 (6.2%) 53 (71%) <0.001
Second and third degree AV block 2 (4%) 8 (2.1%) 1 (1%) 0.646
Left bundle-branch block 3 (6%) 10 (2.7%) 7 (10%) 0.017
Cardiomegaly 37 (71%) 160 (42.4%) 50 (69%) <0.001
Pleural effusion 22 (43%) 83 (22.1%) 19 (26.4%) 0.005
C-reactive protein (mg/dl) § 17.9 (6.9-115.3) 14.3 (4.8-67.8) 6.9 (2.9-14.8) 0.026
Hemoglobin (g/dl) 11 (2.2) 11.1 (2.1) 11 (2) 0.955
Platelets 228×10 3 (124×10 3 ) 215×10 3 (141×10 3 ) 196×10 3 (99×10 3 ) 0.114

Bold values represent p<0.05 are statistically significant.

AV block = atrioventricular block; NAF = new-onset atrial fibrillation; PAF = previous atrial fibrillation; SR = sinus rhythm.

Statistically significant differences between NAF-group and SR-group (p <0.05).


Statistically significant differences between NAF-group and PAF-group (p <0.05).


Statistically significant differences between SR-group and PAF-group (p <0.05).


§ Upper normal limit for C-reactive protein 0.5 mg/dl.



The microorganisms found in patients with NAF were not significantly different from those isolated in SR group and PAF group ( Table 2 ).



Table 2

Microbiological profile in 507 patients with native left-sided infective endocarditis
























































































NAF
(n=52)
SR-Group (n=380) PAF-Group (n= 75) p
Streptococcus bovis 2 (4%) 23 (6.1%) 3 (4%) * 0.654
Streptococcus viridans 5 (10%) 69 (18.3%) 6 (8%) 0.036 *
Other estreptococci 4 (8%) 32 (8.5%) 5 (7%) 0.864
Enterococci 6 (11.5%) 33 (8.8%) 8 (11%) 0.738
Staphylococcus aureus 7 (14%) 66 (17.5%) 13 (17%) 0.766
Coagulase negative staphylococci 10 (19%) 45 (11.9%) 13 (17%) 0.202
Gram negative bacilli 1 (2%) 11 (2.9%) 2 (3%) 0.918
Fungi 0 (0%) 4 (1.1%) 2 (3%) 0.355
HACEK Group 0 (0%) 4 (1.1 %) 0 (0%) 0.507
Anaerobes 0 (0%) 3 (0.8%) 1 (1%) 0.707
Polymicrobial 3 (6%) 20 (5.3%) 7 (9%) 0.403
Others 2 (4%) 13 (3.4%) 4 (5%) 0.736
Negative cultures 12 (23.1%) 54 (14.3%) 11 (15%) 0.255

NAF = new-onset atrial fibrillation; PAF = previous atrial fibrillation; SR = sinus rhythm.

Bold values represent p<0.05 are statistically significant.

* Statistically significant differences between SR group and PAF group (p <0.05).



Echocardiographic data are presented in Table 3 . As expected, left atrial dimension was larger in patients with NAF than in those who remained in SR. Vegetations were equally present in groups ( Table 3 ). Vegetation size was similar in all groups. As regard to the presence of moderate-to-severe valvular insufficiency, no differences were found between patients with NAF and those who remained in SR ( Table 3 ).



Table 3

Echocardiographic findings










































































NAF
(n=52)
SR
(n=380)
PAF
(n= 75)
p
Location of the infection
Aortic native valve 29 (56%) 216 (56.8%) 39 (52%) 0.742
Mitral native valve 30 (58%) 227 (59.7%) 45 (60%) 0.958
Left atrial dimension (mm) 48 (8.5) 43.3 (6.8) 52.4 (14.3) <0.001
Vegetations
Detection by echocardiography 48 (98%) 332 (90%) 61 (84%) 0.035
Vegetation size (mm) 12 (9.4-18.3) 12.7 (9-18.5) 12 (7-18·4) 0.805
Moderate-severe valvular regurgitation 40 (82%) 314 (85.1%) 55 (75%) 0.118
Periannular complications 14 (29%) 92 (24.9%) 15 (21%) 0.582
Abscess 9 (16%) 46 (12.5%) 14 (19%) 0.275
Pseudoaneurysm 9 (18%) 61 (16.5%) 6 (8%) 0.168
Fistula 1 (2%) 9 (2.4%) 1 (1%) 0.849

NAF = new-onset atrial fibrillation; PAF = previous atrial fibrillation; SR = sinus rhythm.

Values are n (%), except for vegetation size that is presented as median. Location of the infection includes native and prosthetic valves.

Bold values represent p<0.05 are statistically significant.

Statistically significant differences between NAF-group and SR-group (p <0.05).


Statistically significant differences between NAF-group and PAF-group (p <0.05).


Statistically significant differences between SR-group and PAF-group (p <0.05).



Heart failure was significantly more frequent in patients with NAF ( Table 4 ). In this group, 27 patients (53%) were already in heart failure at admission. Among patients with heart failure, moderate-to-severe valvular insufficiency was more frequently encountered in patients with SR than in those with AF irrespective of the type (NAF or PAF) (NAF group: 34 (85%), SR group: 193 (93.7%), and PAF group: 42 (82.4%); p = 0.020). According to these results, patients with heart failure and NAF underwent surgery less frequently than those with heart failure and SR (NAF group: 20 [48.8%], SR group: 146 [68.5%], and PAF group: 33 [62.3%]; p = 0.048).



Table 4

Clinical events during in-hospital evolution in 507 patients with native left-sided infective endocarditis (including events at admission)




















































NAF
(n=52)
SR
(n=380)
PAF
(n= 75)
p
Heart failure 41 (79%) 219 (58.4%) 53 (71%) 0.005
CNS embolism 7 (14%) 50 (13.3%) 5 (7%) 0.373
Systemic embolism 15 (29%) 123 (32.8%) 19 (25%) 0.411
Acute renal insufficiency 28 (54%) 178 (47.3%) 45 (60%) 0.113
Septic shock 13 (25%) 58 (15.7%) 17 (23%) 0.122
Cardiac surgery 26 (50%) 219 (57.6%) 40 (53%) 0.502
Death 24 (48%) 95 (25.6%) 27 (37%) 0.002

Only gold members can continue reading. Log In or Register to continue

Stay updated, free articles. Join our Telegram channel

Nov 27, 2016 | Posted by in CARDIOLOGY | Comments Off on Usefulness of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation, as a Strong Predictor of Heart Failure and Death in Patients With Native Left-Sided Infective Endocarditis

Full access? Get Clinical Tree

Get Clinical Tree app for offline access