Hospitals vary by twofold in their hospital-specific 30-day risk-stratified mortality rates (RSMRs) for Medicare beneficiaries with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, we lack a comprehensive investigation of hospital characteristics associated with 30-day RSMRs and the degree to which the variation in 30-day RSMRs is accounted for by these characteristics, including the socioeconomic status (SES) profile of hospital patient populations. We conducted a cross-sectional national study of hospitals with ≥15 AMI discharges from July 1, 2005 to June 20, 2008. We estimated a multivariable weighted regression using Medicare claims data for hospital-specific 30-day RSMRs, American Hospital Association Survey of Hospitals for hospital characteristics, and the United States Census data reported by Neilsen Claritas, Inc., for zip-code level estimates of SES status. Analysis included 2,908 hospitals with 513,202 AMI discharges. Mean hospital 30-day RSMR was 16.5% (SD 1.7 percentage points). Our multivariable model explained 17.1% of the variation in hospital-specific 30-day RSMRs. Teaching status, number of hospital beds, AMI volume, cardiac facilities available, urban/rural location, geographic region, ownership type, and SES profile of patients were significantly (p <0.05) associated with 30-day RSMRs. In conclusion, substantial variation in hospital outcomes for patients with AMI remains unexplained by measurements of hospital characteristics including SES patient profile.
Hospitals across the country have a greater than twofold difference in 30-day risk-standardized mortality rates (RSMRs) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), with RSMRs of 10.9% to 24.9% using 3 years of experience. Previous research has identified teaching status, AMI volume, urban location of hospital, and geographic location as correlates of lower 30-day mortality rates for patients after AMI. More recent studies using the risk-adjustment method endorsed by the National Quality Forum have identified hospital urban location, teaching status, geographic region, and safety net status. None of the studies, however, has assessed how much of the variation in RSMR can be accounted for by these and other hospital characteristics including the socioeconomic status (SES) profile of hospital patient populations. Identifying hospital-level correlates of 30-day RSMR can contribute evidence about types of hospitals where improvement efforts are most needed and lay the foundation for future research to uncover processes of care that may be improving survival rates at higher-performing hospitals.
Methods
We conducted a cross-sectional study using the hospital as the unit of analysis. The sample included all short-term acute and critical access nonfederal hospitals that submitted >15 inpatient Medicare claims to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services for discharges from July 1, 2005 to June 30, 2008 for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with a principal discharge diagnosis of AMI. We used the 2006 American Hospital Association Survey of Hospitals for data on hospital characteristics and data from 2009 Population Facts (Nielsen Claritas, Inc., Los Angeles, California), previously used in cardiology outcomes research, to characterize the SES profile of hospitals’ patient population.
Outcome was hospital 30-day RSMR for July 2005 through June 2008, calculated with the model used by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services for public reporting of 30-day RSMRs. The 30-day RSMR is calculated for each hospital using a hierarchical generalized linear model. For each hospital, the RSMR is estimated by dividing the predicted number of deaths within 30 days of admission by the expected number of deaths within 30 days of admission and then multiplying this ratio by the national unadjusted 30-day mortality rate. The national rate is obtained using data on deaths from the Medicare beneficiary denominator file. The approach accounts for sampling variability due to differences in hospital AMI volume and for lack of statistical independence in patients treated in the same hospital. Specifications for RSMR, including patient-level variables (e.g., medical history, clinical co-morbidities, age, and gender) used for standardization, have been previously described.
Independent variables, selected based on previous literature and our hypotheses, included hospital teaching status. We categorized teaching status in 3 levels: (1) membership in the Council of Teaching Hospitals (COTH), (2) having residency programs accredited by the Accrediting Commission for General Medical Education but not being a member of COTH, and (3) being nonteaching. Other variables included number of staffed beds (≤50, 51 to 100, 101 to 200, 201 to 300, >300 beds), AMI volume per year (16 to 50, 51 to 180, 180 to 500, and >500 Medicare discharges with AMI), cardiac facilities (no catheterization laboratory, catheterization laboratory but no open heart surgery, open heart surgery), urban/rural level (division, metropolitan, micropolitan, and rural as defined by the United States Census), ownership type (government-owned, nonprofit, and for-profit), and census region of hospital. We also examined the reported presence of cardiac rehabilitation programs, tobacco treatment programs, and hospice beds. We included hospice beds because some have argued that hospitals have higher mortality rates if hospice care is available as part of the hospital. We measured the SES profile of patients with AMI as an additional hospital characteristic using the SES scale developed by Nielsen Claritas, Inc., in 2009 Population Facts and used in previous studies, which we linked to the Medicare claims data. The SES scale is based on a zip-code algorithm in which each zip code is given a score for 2009 using the most recent United States Census data and derived from a weighting of household income, educational level, occupation, and home value, projected forward to reflect economic and population growth for each region. We classified each patient discharge into a quintile according to the SES score assigned to the patient’s zip code. A patient discharge was classified as “low SES” if the patient lived in a zip code that had a lowest quintile SES score of all Medicare patients hospitalized with AMI. For each hospital, we then calculated the percentage of Medicare AMI discharges that were categorized as low SES. We categorized this variable in quintiles, which corresponded to hospitals with ≤2%, 3% to 10%, 11% to 30%, 31% to 65%, and 66% to 100% of patients with AMI who were from low SES zip codes.
We summarized all independent variables and estimated a weighted analysis of variance model for each using RSMR as the dependent variable, weighted for the number of AMI admissions included in the RSMR calculation. For each bivariate model, we reported the p values for each level of categorical variables, the overall p value based on the F test, and the proportion of variance in RSMR explained by each independent variable, as measured by R 2 statistics. Because the 30-day RSMR incorporates patient-level factors related to medical history, clinical co-morbidities, age, and gender, the R 2 statistics refer to the proportion of the variation remaining after accounting for these patient-level factors that is explained by the independent variables.
To assess the association of each independent variable with RSMR, we estimated a multivariable weighted least squares model using RSMR as the dependent variable, weighted for number of AMI admissions included in RSMR calculations. We calculated Wald p values for each categorical independent variable. All analyses were performed using SAS 9.1 (SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina) and STATA 11 (STATA Corp., College Station, Texas).
Results
From the initial sample of 4,601 hospitals and 587,779 AMI discharges, 143 hospitals were excluded because they did not have a match in the American Hospital Association Survey of Hospitals, resulting in 4,458 hospitals with 582,949 AMI discharges. We then excluded 1,094 hospitals because they had <15 AMI discharges during the study period. We eliminated 456 hospitals with 62,773 AMI discharges due to missing data, resulting in a final sample of 2,908 hospitals, representing 513,202 discharges. Hospitals excluded due to missing data had fewer beds, lower AMI volume, and more patients with from low SES zip codes than included hospitals but did not differ significantly (p >0.05) in RSMRs.
Mean of RSMR was 16.5% with an SD of 1.7 percentage points. The range was 10.9% to 24.9%. Unadjusted analysis ( Table 1 ) indicated that lower RSMRs (i.e., better hospital performance) were significantly (p <0.05) correlated with COTH teaching status (compared to having Accrediting Commission for General Medical Education residencies only or being a nonteaching hospital), more staffed beds, greater AMI volume, having open heart surgery facilities (vs having catheterization laboratories only or having neither open heart or catheterization laboratory facilities), more urban locations, for-profit or nonprofit ownership (compared to government-owned), New England region, presence of cardiac rehabilitation services, existence of tobacco treatment programs, presence of hospice beds, and having lower percent AMI discharges from lower SES areas. The SES profile of patients with AMI explained 3.8% of the variation in RSMR, and the variable with the highest R 2 was AMI volume with an R 2 of 8.8% ( Table 1 ).
Variable | Number (%) | 30-Day RSMR, Mean ± SD | p Value ⁎ | F Test | R 2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Type of hospital | <0.001 | 0.061 | |||
Council of Teaching Hospitals member | 242 (8.3%) | 15.6 ± 2.0 | reference | ||
Has residency programs | 480 (16.5%) | 16.2 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Nonteaching | 2,186 (75.2%) | 16.7 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
Number of staffed beds | <0.001 † | 0.037 | |||
≤50 | 468 (16.1%) | 17.0 ± 1.3 | reference | ||
51–100 | 506 (17.4%) | 16.9 ± 1.6 | 0.029 | ||
101–200 | 783 (26.9%) | 16.6 ± 1.8 | 0.111 | ||
201–300 | 485 (16.7%) | 16.4 ± 1.8 | 0.001 | ||
>300 | 666 (22.9%) | 16.0 ± 1.9 | <0.001 | ||
Acute myocardial infarction annual discharges | <0.001 † | 0.088 | |||
15–50 | 884 (30.4%) | 17.0 ± 1.2 | reference | ||
51–180 | 1,013 (34.8%) | 16.8 ± 1.8 | 0.097 | ||
181–500 | 802 (27.6%) | 16.0 ± 1.9 | <0.001 | ||
>500 | 209 (7.2%) | 15.4 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Cardiac facilities | <0.001 | 0.042 | |||
Open heart surgery capacity | 1,033 (35.5%) | 16.0 ± 1.9 | reference | ||
Catheterization laboratory only | 643 (22.1%) | 16.8 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
No catheterization laboratory | 1,232 (42.4%) | 16.9 ± 1.4 | <0.001 | ||
Urban/rural location | <0.001 | 0.038 | |||
Division | 480 (16.5%) | 16.0 ± 1.8 | reference | ||
Metropolitan | 1,425 (49.0%) | 16.4 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Micropolitan | 595 (20.5%) | 17.0 ± 1.6 | <0.001 | ||
Rural | 408 (14.0%) | 17.1 ± 1.4 | <0.001 | ||
Ownership type | <0.001 | 0.015 | |||
Government | 515 (17.7%) | 17.0 ± 1.7 | reference | ||
For profit | 1,969 (67.7%) | 16.4 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
Geographic region | <0.001 | 0.056 | |||
New England | 163 (5.6%) | 15.8 ± 1.7 | reference | ||
Mid Atlantic | 318 (10.9%) | 16.2 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
South Atlantic | 496 (17.1%) | 16.5 ± 1.6 | <0.001 | ||
East north central | 535 (18.4%) | 16.4 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
East south central | 218 (7.5%) | 16.9 ± 1.6 | <0.001 | ||
West north central | 308 (10.6%) | 16.6 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
West south central | 391 (13.4%) | 17.0 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Mountain | 152 (5.2%) | 16.5 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | ||
Pacific | 314 (10.8%) | 16.6 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
United States Territories | 13 (0.4%) | 18.9 ± 1.6 | <0.001 | ||
Cardiac rehabilitation services | <0.001 | 0.013 | |||
No | 792 (27.2) | 16.9 ± 1.6 | reference | ||
Yes | 2,116 (72.8) | 16.5 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Tobacco treatment services | 1,955 (67.2%) | 16.4 ± 1.7 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.013 |
Hospice beds | <0.001 | 0.007 | |||
No | 964 (33.1%) | 16.7 ± 1.7 | reference | ||
Yes | 1,944 (66.9%) | 16.4 ± 1.8 | <0.001 | ||
Percent acute myocardial infarction—low socioeconomic status | <0.001 † | 0.038 | |||
≤2% | 504 (17.3%) | 16.5 ± 1.4 | reference | ||
3–10% | 650 (22.4%) | 16.3 ± 1.7 | 0.452 | ||
11–30% | 813 (28.0%) | 16.5 ± 1.6 | 0.034 | ||
31–65% | 571 (19.6%) | 16.7 ± 1.6 | <0.001 | ||
66–100% | 370 (12.7%) | 17.0 ± 1.3 | <0.001 |
⁎ For variation in RSMR over categories based on analysis of variance, weighted by number of cases used to estimate RSMR for each hospital.
Several hospital characteristics were significantly associated with lower 30-day RSMRs in the multivariable analysis ( Table 2 ) including COTH teaching hospitals (compared with non-COTH hospitals with residency programs and compared with nonteaching hospitals), greater AMI volume, larger number of beds, having open heart surgery capability (compared with having a catheterization laboratory only and compared with having no catheterization laboratory), more urban location, nonprofit versus government ownership, and New England region. In this multivariable model including AMI volume and number of staffed beds, AMI volume was negatively associated with 30-day RSMR, suggesting that for hospitals with a given number of beds, those with higher volume have lower RSMRs, and given a fixed volume, hospitals with a larger number of staffed beds had higher RSMRs. Percent AMI discharges from low SES zip codes was also significantly associated with RSMR. Having larger proportions of AMI discharges classified as low SES was generally associated with higher RSMR. Presence of cardiac rehabilitation, tobacco treatment services, and hospice beds was not significantly associated with RSMR. The proportion of variance in RSMR explained by multivariable regression was 17.1%.
Coefficient ± SE | p Value | Wald p Value | |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 14.667 ± 0.324 | <0.001 | |
Type of hospital | <0.001 | ||
Council of Teaching Hospitals member | reference | ||
Has residency programs | 0.500 ± 0.104 | <0.001 | |
Nonteaching | 0.628 ± 0.106 | 0.002 | |
Number of staffed beds | 0.001 | ||
≤50 | reference | ||
51–100 | −0.059 ± 0.237 ⁎ | 0.804 | |
101–200 | 0.367 ± 0.239 † | 0.124 | |
201–300 | 0.548 ± 0.248 | 0.027 | |
>300 | 0.626 ± 0.254 | 0.014 | |
Acute myocardial infarction annual discharges | <0.001 | ||
15–50 | reference | ||
51–180 | −0.183 ± 0.189 | 0.335 | |
181–500 | −0.946 ± 0.204 | <0.001 | |
>500 | −1.318 ± 0.219 | <0.001 | |
Cardiac facilities | <0.001 | ||
Open heart surgery capacity | reference | ||
Catheterization laboratory only | 0.417 ± 0.105 | <0.001 | |
Neither | 0.286 ± 0.137 | 0.037 | |
Urban/rural location | 0.002 | ||
Metropolitan division ∥ | reference | ||
Metropolitan | 0.305 ± 0.092 | 0.001 | |
Micropolitan | 0.466 ± 0.134 | 0.001 | |
Rural | 0.492 ± 0.234 | 0.035 | |
Geographic region | <0.001 | ||
New England | reference | ||
Mid Atlantic | 0.674 ± 0.155 | <0.001 | |
South Atlantic | 0.837 ± 0.151 | <0.001 | |
East north central | 0.680 ± 0.147 | <0.001 | |
East south central | 0.883 ± 0.188 | <0.001 | |
West north central | 0.671 ± 0.175 | 0.001 | |
West south central | 1.304 ± 0.173 | <0.001 | |
Mountain | 0.752 ± 0.206 | <0.001 | |
Pacific | 1.036 ± 0.175 | <0.001 | |
United States Territories | 2.961 ± 0.701 | <0.001 | |
Cardiac rehabilitation services | 0.543 | ||
No | reference | ||
Yes | −0.65 ± 0.106 | 0.543 | |
Tobacco treatment services | 0.241 | ||
No | reference | ||
Yes | −0.102 ± 0.087 | 0.241 | |
Hospice beds | 0.641 | ||
No | reference | ||
Yes | 0.040 ± 0.079 | 0.641 | |
Percent acute myocardial infarction—low socioeconomic status | <0.001 | ||
≤2% | reference | ||
3%–10% | 0.065 ± 0.112 ‡ | 0.562 | |
11%–30% | 0.274 ± 0.112 § | 0.014 | |
31%–65% | 0.529 ± 0.127 | <0.001 | |
66%–100% | 0.752 ± 0.183 | <0.001 | |
R 2 17.1 |