Previous research has shown that roughly 15% to 30% of those with heart failure (HF) develop atrial fibrillation (AF). Although studies have shown variations in the incidence of AF in patients with HF, there has been no evidence of mortality differences by race. The purpose of this study was to assess AF prevalence and inhospital mortality in patients with HF among different racial groups in the United States. Using the National Inpatient Sample registry, the largest publicly available all-payer inpatient care database representing >95% of the US inpatient population, we analyzed subjects hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of HF from 2001 to 2011 (n = 11,485,673) using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition ( ICD 9 ) codes 428.0-0.1, 428.20-0.23, 428.30-0.33, 428.40-0.43, and 428.9; patients with AF were identified using the ICD 9 code 427.31. We assessed prevalence and mortality among racial groups. Using logistic regression, we examined odds of mortality adjusted for demographics and co-morbidity using Elixhauser co-morbidity index. We also examined utilization of procedures by race. Of the 11,485,673 patients hospitalized with HF in our study, 3,939,129 (34%) had AF. Patients with HF and AF had greater inhospital mortality compared with those without AF (4.6% vs 3.3% respectively, p <0.0001). Additionally, black, Hispanic, Asian, and white patients with HF and AF had a 24%, 17%, 13%, and 6% higher mortality, respectively, than if they did not have AF. Among patients with HF and AF, minority racial groups had underutilization of catheter ablation and cardioversion compared with white patients. In conclusion, minority patients with HF and AF had a disproportionately higher risk of inpatient death compared with white patients with HF. We also found a significant underutilization of cardioversion and catheter ablation in minority racial groups compared with white patients.
Current understanding of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure (HF) is based primarily on white and black patients with limited data on other racial groups. Currently, 54 million Hispanics live in the United States with 129 million expected by 2060, making up 31% of the entire population. Additionally, Asians had the highest growth rate, 46%, of any racial group from 2000 to 2010. Although the number of subjects >65 years is expected to increase over the next several decades, the growth rate in whites is slower compared with blacks, Hispanics, and Asians, highlighting the need for further study in these populations. No previous studies have assessed mortality difference in patients with HF suffering from AF across different racial groups. The goal of this study was to determine racial differences in the prevalence of AF in patients with HF and to evaluate procedure utilization and inhospital mortality in this subgroup of patients who have both AF and HF. Finally, with use of over a decade of National Inpatient Sample (NIS) data, we also examined whether any of these relations had significant temporal trends.
Methods
This study involved a population-based sample of patients with HF who were admitted to hospitals in 44 states from 2001 to 2011. The 2001 to 2011 NIS is a set of hospital inpatient databases collected by the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project. The NIS is the largest publicly available all-payer inpatient care database, with discharge data from 1,045 hospitals, a stratified sample of 20% of all US hospital discharges. These data include primary and second admission diagnoses; primary and secondary procedures; admission and discharge status; demographic information such as sex, age, race and ethnicity, zip-code derived median income, and length of stay; and hospital region, teaching status, ownership type, and bed size.
Diagnoses and procedures were identified from the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition, Clinical Modification ( ICD-9 CM ) diagnostic codes. Our sample included subjects who were admitted with a principal diagnosis of systolic, diastolic, or systolic and diastolic HF. We identified these patients using ICD-9 codes that encompassed acute and chronic, systolic and diastolic HF, and HF not otherwise specified (428.0-0.1, 428.20-0.23, 428.30-0.33, 428.40-0.43, 428.9). AF was defined using ICD-9 code 427.31.
Our purpose was to determine racial differences in the prevalence of AF in patients with HF and to evaluate inhospital mortality. The study population with a principle diagnosis of HF was divided into 2 groups: (1) HF cases with AF and (2) HF cases without AF. Within this population, we identified 11,485,673 admissions for HF for a period of 11 years. We also examined procedure utilization with the following procedures: (1) cardioversion (99.61, 99.62, 99.69) and (2) catheter ablation (37.34). Finally, we examined these relations by year of admission to assess any trends over time.
Baseline co-morbidities were identified using methods described by Elixhauser et al. The Elixhauser method has been shown to be the co-morbidity measurement method of choice for administrative data. Furthermore, these methods were validated within a subset of the NIS, were determined to be predictive of mortality within this database, and are recommended for adjustment for severity in the NIS database by the Agency for Healthcare Quality Research.
We used SAS software, version 9.1, for all analyses (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina). Univariate and distributional analyses included measures of central tendency, kurtosis, and skew. Bivariate comparisons, such as those comparing the patient characteristics and inhospital mortality, were made using Pearson chi-square tests for dichotomous outcomes and with t tests or 1-way analysis of variance for continuous outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association of HF and AF with each outcome (prevalence and inhospital mortality) with covariates including age, gender, income, Elixhauser co-morbidities, and hospital length of stay. Co-morbidities included in the regression models were hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic lung disease, diabetes mellitus, cardiomyopathy, obesity, myocardial infarction, hyperthyroidism, and hypothyroidism. All analyses were weighted using NIS-provided weights to create national estimates for all analyses.
Results
Of the 11,485,673 patients hospitalized with HF in our study, 3,939,129 (34%) had AF ( Table 1 ). Patients with HF and AF had greater inhospital mortality compared with those with HF without AF (4.6% vs 3.3%, respectively, p <0.0001). Although gender distribution between the 2 groups were similar, patients with HF and AF tended to be significantly older than those with HF without AF. The difference in age was more significant in women compared with men ( Table 1 ).
With AF | Without AF | p Value | |
---|---|---|---|
Overall HF cases | 11,485,673 | ||
Overall cases | 3,939,129 (34%) | 7,546,545 (66%) | 0.002 |
Females | 2,045,259 (52%) | 3,925,510 (52%) | |
Males | 1,893,870 (48%) | 3,621,035 (48%) | |
Mean age (years) | <0.0001 | ||
Overall | 78 ± 11 | 71 ± 15 | |
Females | 80 ± 23 | 68 ± 15 | |
Males | 75 ± 26 | 73 ± 15 | |
Race | <0.0001 | ||
White | 2,515,882 (64%) | 3,771,497 (50%) | |
Black | 297,685 (7.6%) | 1,288,977 (17%) | |
Hispanic | 172,059 (4.4%) | 532,221 (7.1%) | |
Asian | 47,152 (1.2%) | 98,089 (1.3%) | |
Others | 65,752 (1.7%) | 164,596 (2.2%) | |
Missing | 840,599 (21%) | 1,691,165 (22%) | |
Median household income | <0.0001 | ||
$1-39,999 | 870,413 (22%) | 2,144,402 (28%) | |
$40,000-49,999 | 855,500 (22%) | 1,595,131 (21%) | |
$50,000-65,000 | 793,302 (20%) | 1,268,030 (17%) | |
$66,000+ | 707,260 (18%) | 950,637 (13%) | |
In-hospital mortality | 180,254 (4.6%) | 248,879 (3.3%) | <0.0001 |
Comorbidities | <0.0001 | ||
Hypertension | 2,376,007 (60%) | 4,927,263 (65%) | |
Coronary artery disease | 1,721,806 (44%) | 3,391,406 (45%) | |
Chronic lung disease | 1,419,316 (36%) | 2,638,479 (35%) | |
Diabetes mellitus | 1,343,648 (34%) | 3,363,692 (45%) | |
Cardiomyopathy | 768,592 (20%) | 1,615,558 (21%) | |
Hypothyroidism | 599,680 (15%) | 876,255 (12%) | |
Obesity | 309,123 (7.9% | 825,763 (11%) | |
Myocardial Infarction | 107,906 (2.7%) | 276,078 (3.7%) | |
Hyperthyroidism | 22,883 (0.6%) | 23,913 (0.3%) | |
Comorbidities by race | |||
Hypertension | <0.0001 | ||
White | 1,502,933 (60%) | 2,319,670 (62%) | |
Black | 216,227 (73%) | 1,002,663 (78%) | |
Hispanic | 115,618 (67%) | 386,429 (73%) | |
Asian | 31,325 (66%) | 71,066 (72%) | |
Other | 41,711 (63%) | 112,315 (68%) | |
Coronary artery disease | <0.0001 | ||
White | 1,156,016 (46%) | 1,874,111 (50%) | |
Black | 105,164 (35%) | 428,870 (33%) | |
Hispanic | 77,380 (45%) | 246,155 (46%) | |
Asian | 19,682 (42%) | 45,128 (46%) | |
Other | 28,593 (43%) | 77,732 (47%) | |
Chronic lung disease | <0.0001 | ||
White | 930,010 (37%) | 1,399,678 (37%) | |
Black | 101,972 (34%) | 414,760 (32%) | |
Hispanic | 57,132 (33%) | 152,922 (29%) | |
Asian | 13,656 (29%) | 25,252 (26%) | |
Other | 22,115 (34%) | 51,354 (31%) | |
Diabetes mellitus | <0.0001 | ||
White | 831,657 (33%) | 1,578,567 (42%) | |
Black | 119,405 (40%) | 609,979 (47%) | |
Hispanic | 76,698 (45%) | 313,658 (59%) | |
Asian | 19,121 (41%) | 50,969 (52%) | |
Other | 25,869 (39%) | 83,531 (51%) | |
Cardiomyopathy | <0.0001 | ||
White | 445,875 (18%) | 678,459 (18%) | |
Black | 101,171 (34%) | 419,317 (33%) | |
Hispanic | 44,147 (26%) | 125,004 (23%) | |
Asian | 10,875 (23%) | 23,095 (24%) | |
Other | 13,487 (21%) | 35,266 (21%) | |
Hypothyroidism | <0.0001 | ||
White | 423,205 (17%) | 535,939 (14%) | |
Black | 25,468 (8.6%) | 77,193 (6.0%) | |
Hispanic | 22,259 (13%) | 53,745 (10%) | |
Asian | 4,757 (10%) | 8,209 (8.4%) | |
Other | 9,605 (15%) | 17,530 (11%) | |
Obesity | <0.0001 | ||
White | 192,751 (7.7%) | 379,881 (10%) | |
Black | 39,865 (13%) | 202,026 (16%) | |
Hispanic | 16,536 (9.6%) | 61,988 (12%) | |
Asian | 2,389 (5.1%) | 5,958 (6.1%) | |
Other | 5,806 (8.8%) | 18,012 (11%) | |
Myocardial infarction | <0.0001 | ||
White | 72,222 (2.9%) | 161,994 (4.3%) | |
Black | 5,776 (1.9%) | 25,956 (2.0%) | |
Hispanic | 4,051 (2.4%) | 17,718 (3.3%) | |
Asian | 1,658 (3.5%) | 5,110 (5.2%) | |
Other | 1,814 (2.8%) | 6,643 (4.0%) | |
Hyperthyroidism | <0.0001 | ||
White | 13,305 (0.5%) | 10,186 (0.3%) | |
Black | 2,676 (0.9%) | 5,785 (0.5%) | |
Hispanic | 1,153 (0.7%) | 1,577 (0.3%) | |
Asian | 551 (1.2%) | 485 (0.5%) | |
Other | 586 (0.9%) | 682 (0.4%) |
Table 1 illustrates the difference in the co-morbidity rates between patients with HF with and without AF and the racial breakdown of co-morbidities. In regard to prevalence of AF in HF, whites constituted the greatest portion of patients with HF and AF compared with other racial groups ( Table 1 ). After adjustment for demographics and co-morbidities, we found blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and “other race” patients with HF were 47%, 36%, 19%, and 28% less likely, respectively, to have AF than white patients with HF ( Table 2 ).
Race | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | p Value |
---|---|---|
White | Reference | |
Black | 0.53 (.53-.54) | <.0001 |
Hispanic | 0.64 (.64-.65) | <.0001 |
Asian | 0.81 (.80-.82) | <.0001 |
Others | 0.72 (.72-.73) | <.0001 |
Table 3 lists, after adjustment for demographics and co-morbidities, patients with HF and AF had a 13% higher inhospital mortality than if they did not have AF. Furthermore, there was a significant difference in mortality among racial groups. Black patients with HF and AF had a 24% higher mortality than if they did not have AF, whereas Hispanic, Asian, and white patients with HF had a 17%, 13%, and 6% higher mortality than if they did not have AF, respectively.
Overall Odds Ratios: | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | p Value |
---|---|---|
Overall | 1.13 (1.12-1.13) | <.0001 |
White | 1.06 (1.06-1.07) | <.0001 |
Black | 1.24 (1.21-1.27) | <.0001 |
Hispanic | 1.17 (1.14-1.21) | <.0001 |
Asian | 1.13 (1.06-1.19) | <.0001 |
Others | 1.16 (1.11-1.22) | <.0001 |
Table 4 demonstrates the inhospital use of cardioversion in patients with HF suffering from AF. It can be seen that, compared with white patients with HF, there was an underutilization of these 2 procedures among minority racial groups. Specifically, black patients with HF and AF were 38% less likely to undergo cardioversion compared with white patients with HF and AF. Similarly, Hispanic and Asian patients with HF and AF were 39% and 33% less likely to undergo cardioversion, respectively. Table 5 illustrates the inhospital use of catheter ablation in patients with HF and AF. black, Hispanic, and Asian patients with HF and AF were 17%, 22%, and 62% less likely, respectively, to undergo catheter ablation compared with white patients with HF and AF.
Race | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | p Value |
---|---|---|
White | Reference | |
Black | 0.62 (0.61-0.64) | <.0001 |
Hispanic | 0.61 (0.59-0.64) | <.0001 |
Asian | 0.67 (0.63-0.72) | <.0001 |
Others | 0.81 (0.77-0.85) | <.0001 |