Summary
The prevalence of congenital heart disease among adults in Europe, or in any country in Europe, is not known. This is due to a lack of agreement on the incidence of congenital heart disease, with estimations varying from four per 1000 births to 50 per 1000 births, and it is not known how many patients with congenital heart disease have died. Based on several studies that estimated and calculated the number of adult patients with congenital heart disease, the number of patients should be much higher than the number of patients that are actually seen in specialized centres throughout Europe. This implies that either a large proportion of adult patients with congenital heart disease do not receive appropriate medical care, or that the calculations and estimations are grossly wrong. A combination of the two is also possible. A substantial expansion of the number and size of specialized centres for adult congenital heart disease is advocated, but since setting up (and running) a service for this disease is a costly affair, and because uncertainty remains about the actual number of patients needing specialized care, this has been difficult to realize in most European countries in the past few years.
Résumé
La cardiopathie congénitale est la principale étiologie des défects congénitaux. En terme d’organisation des soins, l’impact des cardiopathies congénitales dans les premières années de la vie a surtout été mis en avant. Avant l’ère de la chirurgie cardiaque, les cardiopathies congénitales constituaient la principale cause de décès de l’enfant, et seulement une minorité de ceux nés avec une cardiopathie congénitale complexe, survivaient et atteignaient l’âge adulte. Après l’avènement de la chirurgie cardiaque, par Lillehei en 1953, une amélioration progressive du taux de survie a été obtenue pendant les décennies suivantes. Cela a conduit à la situation actuelle, où le nombre de patients atteints de cardiopathie congénitale atteignant l’âge adulte a augmenté de façon progressive. Avec le niveau actuel de soins, il est escompté que plus de 90 % des patients nés avec une cardiopathie congénitale survivront et atteindront l’âge adulte. La majorité de ces patients qui survivent et atteignent l’âge adulte après une chirurgie cardiaque n’ont pas bénéficié d’un traitement « à vie » : la majorité en effet gardent des anomalies cardiaques résiduelles. La nécessité de la poursuite de soins spécialisés après les années d’enfance a été soulignée depuis le début des années 1980. L’existence de réseaux de santé pour les patients adultes atteints d’affection cardiaque, les services usuels de soins aux cardiaques, ne sont pas adaptés à cet objectif, du fait du manque d’expérience et donc de compétence dans ce domaine spécifique. Cette observation a conduit à établir des programmes pour des unités spécialisées dans l’Europe entière. Certains de ces programmes ont débuté dans les années 1980, la majorité dans les années 1990 et le nombre de centres spécialisés est en augmentation constante. De plus, le nombre de ces centres tente à augmenter rapidement.
Congenital heart disease is the most common of all congenital defects. In terms of organization of care, the emphasis has always been on the impact of congenital heart disease in the first years of life: in the era before cardiac surgery, congenital heart disease was the most important cause of infant death and only a few of those born with complex congenital heart disease survived until adulthood. Since the introduction of cardiac surgery by Lillehei in 1953, a gradual improvement in survival has been achieved over the subsequent decades. This has led to a situation where the number of patients with congenital heart disease who reach adult age has gradually increased, and with the current level of healthcare it is expected that over 90% of babies born in developed countries with congenital heart disease will now survive until adulthood.
Most patients who survive into adulthood after cardiac surgery in childhood, are not ‘cured’ for life; almost all have residual abnormalities . The need for continuation of specialized care after their childhood years has been emphasized since the early 1980s . The existing healthcare networks for adult patients with cardiac problems – the regular cardiology services – are not equipped for this task, because of lack of training and exposure and therefore skills in this specific field . Awareness of this issue has led to the establishment of programmes for specialized adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) care throughout Europe. Some programmes started in the 1980s, many in the 1990s, and the number of centres is still increasing. In addition, existing centres tend to grow, many of them rapidly .
In a recent survey, Moons et al. identified 70 centres in Europe that could be labelled as centres for ACHD. Altogether, these 70 centres had some 130,000 adult patients in their care. The authors stated that this was only a fraction of the entire population of patients with ACHD, that this population is heavily under serviced in terms of available care at an adequate level and that many more centres – or much larger units – would be needed.
Establishing and running a unit for specialized ACHD care is, however, a costly affair, as these chronically ill patients with considerable morbidity , need a relatively large amount of “doctor time” and claim a fairly large proportion of health-care resources . If we want to convince health-care planners and boards (or directors of hospitals) of the necessity of investing in such a costly service, we need to answer a few basic questions. How many patients in total are involved? How many of these patients have complex ACHD, how many have ACHD of moderate severity and how many have mild ACHD? Which defects really require specialized tertiary referral ACHD care and which can be dealt with in regional hospitals by cardiologists? How many patients need no special cardiac follow-up at all? These are simple and fair questions, but are difficult to answer.
We do not know the incidence of congenital heart disease (i.e., how many patients are born per year with congenital heart disease in a specific population or country), because reports on this topic vary enormously from four per 1000 live births to 50 per 1000 live births.
We also do not know the prevalence of congenital heart disease (i.e., how many patients are alive with congenital heart disease in a population or country), because we do not know the starting point (the incidence) or how many patients have died. We are not aware of any country in which there is a population-based registry that is solid and detailed enough to answer these questions.
What should be considered as complex congenital heart disease? There is no uniformity in the definition that has been used in the various published studies, task force reports and position papers. For example, tetralogy of Fallot and atrioventricular septal defects – both fairly large diagnosis groups – are defects that are classified as severe or complex by some and as moderately severe by others. Neither is there consensus about which patient group actually needs highly specialized, tertiary referral care. There is not much discussion about really complex congenital heart disease (it is accepted that patients should be seen in a specialized centre]) and there is also a shared belief that truly simple lesions do not need specialized care. But what is the best option for the group of patients with moderately complex congenital heart disease? Regional care provided by the regular cardiology services near the patient, tertiary referral specialized care, or both options as shared care? And who should do a catheter-based intervention or a surgical procedure in a simple defect detected in adulthood? Atrial septal defect closure and aortic coarctation are the most typical examples. Should they all be referred to a tertiary referral centre?
With the major issues of incidence and prevalence largely unresolved, and no consensus about the number and category of patients that should be seen in a tertiary referral, specialized ACHD centre, it is very difficult to make plans to create adequate healthcare for these patients. This probably explains the current situation in Europe regarding ACHD care, as described by Moons et al. .
There have been some excellent attempts in recent years to tackle this issue. Although based mainly on estimations and not on actual measurements, and coming mostly from the USA, these studies might be very helpful in trying to understand the scope of the problem in Europe.
What is the problem with assessment of congenital heart disease incidence?
The landmark study on this topic was published by Hoffman and Kaplan in 2002 . They reviewed 62 studies published after 1955 on the incidence of congenital heart disease, and found that it varied from four to 50 per 1000 live births. This huge variation requires explanation, and Hoffman and Kaplan provided that. In short, large, population-based studies will represent the number of live births reliably but will rarely be able to use sophisticated screening tools for a very high number of patients, so will probably fail to detect all cases of congenital heart disease. This will lead to an underestimation of the real incidence.
Smaller studies, applying sophisticated screening tools (e.g., repeated echo studies throughout the first months of life), will probably detect all cases of congenital heart disease, but the population in which they are applied is often small and therefore the outcome might not be representative of the entire population; owing to selection bias, these studies tend to overestimate the incidence of congenital heart disease.
The use of echocardiography is also important. Early studies, before the mid 1980s, did not have echocardiography as a diagnostic tool and will have missed many small defects. However, even in later studies that applied echocardiography, the differences between studies remained large. It appears that the huge variation was explained almost exclusively by varying percentages of mild and trivial lesions being detected.
The incidence of moderate-to-severe congenital heart disease was similar in most studies and appeared to be relatively stable for many years and in many different countries, largely irrespective of the use of echocardiography: approximately six per 1000 live births, of which three per 1000 were severe and three per 1000 were moderate.
Based on the meta-analysis, we may conclude that the incidence of congenital heart disease that is relevant to the discussion about the need for specialized ACHD care is at least three per 1000 live births with regard to complex congenital heart disease, and possibly as many as six per 1000 live births if moderately severe congenital heart disease is included.
In a paper from the UK published in 2001, Wren and O’Sullivan reviewed all confirmed cardiovascular malformations diagnosed between 1985 and 1999 in children born in 1985 to 1994 in one health region (Newcastle, England). The observed incidence of congenital heart disease in infancy was 5.2 per 1000 live births. It was very interesting that of all the patients diagnosed with congenital heart disease who had a life expectancy greater than 16 years of age, 35% were diagnosed after the first year of life. This indicates that basing the incidence of congenital heart disease on screening in the first year of life, even in a relatively recent era with the benefit of echocardiography, leads to a substantial underestimation of the number of patients that is relevant for the discussion about care for ACHD. Based on the complexity of the disease (and using a slightly different definition to Hoffman and Kaplan) they predicted that two per 1000 live births would need specialized care for congenital heart disease beyond childhood. This is substantially lower than the estimation of Hoffman and Kaplan, partly explained by lower detection of congenital heart disease (despite a substantial number of patients detected after the first year of life) and partly by the definition of which patient category needs specialized care throughout life.
Two diagnoses complicate the discussion about the incidence of congenital heart disease: bicuspid aortic valve (BAV; 13 per 1000 live births) and congenital mitral regurgitation/stenosis, including mitral valve prolapse (40–50 per 1000 live births) . These lesions are congenital and could therefore rightfully be included in reports about incidence. In particular, BAV has a fairly high likelihood of needing surgical intervention during adult life. If these lesions were included in the calculation of need for specialized ACHD care, the numbers (and the costs attached to these programmes) would be greatly inflated. It is our opinion that because patients with BAV and congenital mitral stenosis/regurgitation, in considerable numbers, have been taken care of for so long by general adult cardiologists and surgeons (who have the necessary expertise because the lesions occur so frequently), they do not fit into the category of ACHD patients for whom specialized care should be arranged.
We come to the conclusion that for the discussion about healthcare planning for ACHD and the number of patients that need specialized ACHD care, an incidence of at least two per 1000 live births should be used (Wren and O’Sullivan) and possibly up to six per 1000 live births (Hoffman and Kaplan: combined complex and moderately severe cases).