Long-Term Prognosis of First Myocardial Infarction According to the Electrocardiographic Pattern (ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction, Non-ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction and Non-Classified Myocardial Infarction) and Revascularization Procedures




The aim of this study was to describe differences in the characteristics and short- and long-term prognoses of patients with first acute myocardial infarction (MI) according to the presence of ST-segment elevation or non–ST-segment elevation. From 2001 and 2003, 2,048 patients with first MI were consecutively admitted to 6 participating Spanish hospitals and categorized as having ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI), non–ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI), or unclassified MI (pacemaker or left bundle branch block) according to electrocardiographic results at admission. The proportions of female gender, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and diabetes were higher among NSTEMI patients than in the STEMI group. NSTEMI 28-day case fatality was lower (2.99% vs 5.26%, p = 0.02). On multivariate analysis, the odds ratio of 28-day case fatality was 2.23 for STEMI patients compared to NSTEMI patients (95% confidence interval 1.29 to 3.83, p = 0.004). The multivariate adjusted 7-year mortality for 28-day survivors was higher in NSTEMI than in STEMI patients (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.68, p = 0.035). However, patients with unclassified MI presented the highest short- and long-term mortality (11.8% and 35.4%, respectively). The excess of short-term mortality in unclassified and STEMI patients was mainly observed in those patients not treated with revascularization procedures. In conclusion, patients with first NSTEMI were older and showed a higher proportion of previous coronary risk factors than STEMI patients. NSTEMI patients had lower 28-day case fatality but a worse 7-year mortality rate than STEMI patients. Unclassified MI presented the worst short- and long-term prognosis. These results support the invasive management of patients with acute coronary syndromes to reduce short-term case fatality.


Although we are learning more about the physiopathology of acute coronary syndromes, the clinical characteristics that determine its type are not well established. Previous studies have observed that a history of myocardial infarction (MI), advanced age, and the presence of various co-morbidities are associated with a higher probability of presenting with non–ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI). However, very little analysis has been done of the characteristics that determine its manner of presentation in patients with first MI. In contrast, ST-segment elevation on admission electrocardiography is 1 of the predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with MI, although conflicting data have suggested that NSTEMI has a worse long-term prognosis. Moreover, although current guidelines recommend the use of invasive management and reperfusion therapy in patients with NSTEMI and those with ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI), data regarding the long-term benefits of this approach are scarce. The objectives of this study were (1) to determine the factors associated with the different forms of first MI presentation, in terms of whether ST-segment elevation is present at admission or the electrocardiographic results cannot be classified, (2) to evaluate the differences in in-hospital and 7-year mortality for these 3 groups of patients, and (3) to evaluate the effectiveness of revascularization on short- and long-term prognoses in these type of patients.


Methods


This prospective register of patients with MI was undertaken by 6 public hospitals in Spain, with long-term follow-up of vital status. All patients aged >18 years who were admitted with first MI <72 hours after symptom onset were prospectively and consecutively included from September 2001 to June 2003. The study was approved by the local ethics committee, and all participants were informed and provided signed consent.


The diagnosis of MI followed the European Society of Cardiology and American College of Cardiology definition, which is that MI is a myocardial necrosis secondary to ischemia. Myocardial necrosis is defined as elevated levels of troponin T or I, or of the creatine kinase-MB fraction, according to the normal levels as defined at each center.


On the basis of electrocardiographic findings at admission, patients were classified into 3 groups: STEMI, NSTEMI or unclassified MI (presence of left branch block or pacemaker rhythm). All electrocardiograms were analyzed by a clinical cardiologist at each of the participant hospitals using standardized criteria.


Exclusion criteria were a history of MI, residence outside the center’s service area, and serious illness, unrelated to the admission episode, that limited the patient’s life expectancy.


A standardized questionnaire administered by trained personnel was used to prospectively gather demographic variables and co-morbidities such as history of hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, and previous angina. Clinical characteristics of the event were recorded, including MI location, presence of ST-segment elevation on admission electrocardiography, appearance of Q waves, and complications such as the development of pulmonary edema or cardiogenic shock or the presence of malignant arrhythmias within the first 48 hours (defined as the appearance of ventricular fibrillation or sustained ventricular tachycardia requiring immediate medical attention). Finally, information was also collected on the management of the acute event, including medical treatments during the hospital stay and at discharge, reperfusion and procedures such as pharmacologic or stress-testing techniques to determine the presence of ischemia, echocardiography, coronary angiography (number of vessels with severe lesions), and surgical or percutaneous coronary revascularization.


No standards were established for clinical management of the patients, so each of the participating hospitals used its own treatment protocols. Nonetheless, all the hospitals used protocols that followed the national and international clinical practice guidelines in force at the time of the study.


Events of interest were defined as 28-day and long-term mortality, with 7-year follow-up of vital status until December 31, 2009. To identify long-term fatal cases, we accessed the National Death Registry. This is an exhaustive and mandatory official database collecting individual data of all individuals who have died in Spain from 1987 until the present. This database is promoted by the Spanish health ministry to public institutions (health care administrations, research centers, etc) and provides information regarding vital status and date of death, although it does not indicate a specific cause of death. We used individual data of the patients included in this registry (family name, name, date of birth, city of residence) to link our data with the National Death Registry. Given the demographic trends of the study area, specifically the lack of international out-migration, we assumed that study participants who did not appear in this registry were alive at the end of the follow-up.


In the comparison of the 3 study groups (STEMI, NSTEMI, and unclassified MI), analysis of variance or the Kruskal-Wallis test was used for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables. Logistical regression and Cox regression were used to determine the associations between the 3 electrocardiographic patterns and 28-day and long-term mortality, respectively, adjusting for the confounding variables identified. We tested for the interaction between the use of revascularization procedures during hospitalization and the 3 electrocardiographic patterns on 28-day and 7-year prognoses.


In the multivariate analyses, multiple imputation methods were performed to replace missing values in the adjustment variables, for which the “mi” and “mitools” R packages were used, and to avoid potential selection bias and loss of statistical power. A p value <0.05 was considered significant. R version 2.11.1 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) was used for the analysis.




Results


The study registered consecutively 3,842 patients. After excluding those patients with exclusion criteria ( Figure 1 ) , 2,048 were included in the analyses: 60.3% with STEMI, 32.7% with NSTEMI, and 7.0% with unclassified MI. The demographic and clinical characteristics of the 3 patient groups are listed in Table 1 . Patients with NSTEMI had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, tobacco use, and diabetes) and previous angina and a larger proportion of women than in the STEMI group. Patients with unclassified MI were older and also had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and angina than the STEMI group.




Figure 1


Flowchart of registered and included patients in the study.


Table 1

Patient characteristics by electrocardiographic results on admission






































































































































































STEMI NSTEMI Unclassified MI
Variable (n = 1,235) (n = 670) (n = 143) p Value p Value p Value p value
Age (years) 61.0 ± 29.4 63.2 ± 12.5 65.9 ± 10.9 0.058 0.049 0.021 0.022
Men 998 (80.8%) 499 (74.6%) 100 (69.4%) 0.002 0.001 0.204 <0.001
Hypertension 574 (47.5%) 401 (60.8%) 91 (66.4%) <0.001 <0.001 0.222 <0.001
Diabetes mellitus 310 (25.9%) 195 (30.0%) 60 (43.2%) 0.054 <0.001 0.003 <0.001
Current smoker 596 (49.7%) 393 (60.8%) 83 (66.4%) <0.001 <0.001 0.241 <0.001
Previous angina pectoris 434 (36.3%) 331 (51.5%) 61 (50.8%) <0.001 0.002 0.897 <0.001
Admission Killip class III or IV 89 (7.3%) 56 (8.5%) 30 (23.1%) 0.335 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Ejection fraction <0.001 0.014 <0.001 <0.001
≤30% 104 (8.5%) 28 (4.2%) 20 (14.1%)
31%–45% 319 (26.0%) 82 (12.3%) 33 (23.2%)
46%–60% 504 (41.0%) 301 (45.3%) 44 (31.0%)
>60% 302 (24.6%) 254 (38.2%) 45 (31.7%)
Number of affected vessels <0.001 0.003 0.075 <0.001
0 44 (5.37%) 26 (5.42%) 9 (12.9%)
1 362 (44.2%) 148 (30.8%) 19 (27.1%)
2–3 413 (50.4%) 306 (63.7%) 42 (60.0%)

Data are expressed as mean ± SD or as number (percentage).

STEMI versus NSTEMI.


STEMI versus NSTEMI versus unclassified MI.


NSTEMI versus unclassified MI.



The variables associated with the electrocardiographic typology of MI in multivariate analysis are listed in Table 2 . History of angina, arterial hypertension, and age were associated with a higher probability of NSTEMI than of STEMI. In addition, age was directly associated with a higher probability of presenting with unclassified MI than with NSTEMI.



Table 2

Variables associated with electrocardiographic pattern upon admission: multinomial logistic regression


























































STEMI vs NSTEMI Unclassified MI vs NSTEMI
Variable OR (95% CI) p Value OR (95% CI) p Value Global p Value
Age (×10 years) 0.87 (0.79–0.96) 0.005 1.21 (1.00–1.47) 0.050 <0.001
Female gender 0.86 (0.67–1.11) 0.252 1.06 (0.65–1.74) 0.809 0.432
Diabetes 0.91 (0.72–1.14) 0.400 1.03 (0.65–1.63) 0.888 0.646
Hypertension 0.75 (0.61–0.93) 0.007 1.05 (0.67–1.64) 0.832 0.016
Smoking 1.18 (0.93–1.50) 0.164 1.04 (0.64–1.71) 0.864 0.367
Previous angina 0.56 (0.46–0.69) <0.001 0.88 (0.58–1.33) 0.537 <0.001

CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio.


In contrast, analysis of the patients who received coronary angiography showed that patients with NSTEMI presented with a higher proportion of multivessel disease.


The treatments and procedures implemented during the hospital stay are listed in Table 3 . Nearly 70% of the patients had coronary angiography, and 1/3 of these had percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Reperfusion therapies (thrombolysis or primary PCI) were primarily used in STEMI patients, and elective PCI and surgical revascularization were more frequent in the NSTEMI group.



Table 3

In-hospital treatment and in-hospital and long-term prognoses on the basis of electrocardiographic results on admission §





































































































































































































































STEMI NSTEMI Unclassified MI
Variable (n = 1,235) (n = 670) (n = 143) p Value p Value p Value p Value
Treatment
Aspirin 1,115 (93.4%) 605 (91.3%) 119 (92.2%) 0.092 0.625 0.712 0.240
Clopidogrel 464 (38.9%) 254 (38.3%) 33 (25.6%) 0.816 0.003 0.006 0.012
Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors 264 (22.1%) 217 (32.7%) 29 (22.5%) <0.001 0.923 0.021 <0.001
β blockers 919 (77.0%) 517 (78.0%) 82 (62.6%) 0.618 <0.001 <0.001 0.001
Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors 781 (65.3%) 364 (55.1%) 91 (69.5%) <0.001 0.340 0.002 <0.001
Statins 854 (71.4%) 507 (76.6%) 89 (70.1%) 0.016 0.754 0.118 0.040
Fibrinolysis 561 (45.4%) 16 (2.4%) 8 (5.6%) <0.001 <0.001 0.055 <0.001
Primary PCI 140 (11.7%) 13 (2.0%) 2 (1.5%) <0.001 <0.001 1.00 <0.001
Rescue PCI 97 (8.1%) 3 (0.5%) 2 (1.5%) <0.001 0.007 0.191 <0.001
Elective PCI 259 (21.7%) 227 (34.6%) 25 (19.4%) <0.001 0.537 0.001 <0.001
Coronary angiography 846 (69.1%) 487 (73.0%) 78 (58.2%) 0.072 0.011 0.001 0.002
Coronary bypass 94 (7.84%) 95 (14.4%) 21 (16.2%) <0.001 0.001 0.595 <0.001
Prognosis
Maximum Killip class (III or IV) 149 (12.3%) 77 (11.7%) 39 (29.5%) <0.001 0.001 0.595 <0.001
MI recurrence 44 (3.7%) 22 (3.4%) 8 (5.9%) 0.752 0.194 0.157 0.352
Angina after MI 104 (8.7%) 84 (12.9%) 15 (11.5%) 0.005 0.301 0.648 0.017
Arrhythmias (ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation) <48 hours 95 (7.8%) 25 (3.8%) 10 (7.5%) 0.001 0.906 0.055 0.003
Mechanical complications 18 (1.5%) 3 (0.5%) 1 (0.7%) 0.231 0.412 0.527 0.323
Complete atrioventricular block 62 (5.1%) 5 (0.8%) 7 (5.2%) <0.001 0.949 0.001 <0.001
Stroke 11 (0.9%) 3 (0.5%) 1 (0.7%) 0.643 1.000 0.528 0.710
28-day case fatality 65 (5.26%) 20 (2.99%) 17 (11.8%) 0.022 0.002 <0.001 <0.001
Long-term mortality (per year) § 2.32% 3.42% 6.38% 0.001 <0.001 0.001 <0.001

STEMI versus NSTEMI.


STEMI versus NSTEMI versus unclassified MI.


NSTEMI versus unclassified MI.


§ Hazard of death per 1 year among 28-day survivors (log-rank p values).



With respect to medical treatments, there were no differences between the groups in the proportion of patients treated with antiaggregants or β blockers, although NSTEMI patients received more glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors and statins, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors were less prescribed.


The in-hospital evolution of all 3 groups is listed in Table 3 . Patients with NSTEMI presented a greater frequency of post-MI angina than those with STEMI but a lower frequency of ventricular arrhythmias and complete atrioventricular block. The 28-day case fatality was higher in STEMI than in NSTEMI patients, although the highest case fatality was observed in those with unclassified MI.


Multivariate analysis showed that patients with STEMI had a higher probability of 28-day case fatality than the NSTEMI group ( Table 4 ). In contrast, patients with unclassified MI had worse 28-day case fatality than patients with STEMI, and this higher mortality was mainly related to a higher proportion of complications, such as Killip class III or IV or ventricular arrhythmias ( Table 4 ).



Table 4

Association between electrocardiographic pattern on admission and 28-day case fatality, adjusted by various covariates in logistic regression models



















































































































STEMI Unclassified MI
NSTEMI OR (95% CI) p Value OR (95% CI) p Value
All patients n = 670 n = 1,235 n = 143
Model 1 1 1.83 (1.10–3.06) 0.020 4.25 (2.16–8.34) <0.001
Model 2 1 2.07 (1.23–3.50) 0.007 4.30 (2.16–8.55) <0.001
Model 3 1 1.85 (1.06–3.25) 0.031 2.43 (1.13–5.22) 0.023
Model 4 1 2.09 (1.17–3.74) 0.013 2.27 (1.02–5.07) 0.045
Patients who underwent revascularization n = 333 n = 573 n = 50
Model 1 1 2.07 (0.83–5.14) 0.116 0.96 (0.11–8.08) 0.969
Model 2 1 2.04 (0.80–5.23) 0.136 1.09 (0.13–9.30) 0.938
Model 3 1 1.70 (0.62–4.66) 0.298 0.88 (0.09–8.24) 0.910
Model 4 1 1.83 (0.61–5.49) 0.281 1.64 (0.15–17.40) 0.683
Patients without revascularization n = 323 n = 612 n = 78
Model 1 1 2.32 (1.15–4.70) 0.019 4.96 (2.01–12.20) 0.001
Model 2 1 2.81 (1.37–5.78) 0.005 4.86 (1.93–12.20) 0.001
Model 3 1 3.05 (1.36–6.82) 0.007 2.54 (0.91–7.10) 0.077
Model 4 1 3.45 (1.51–7.88) 0.003 2.46 (0.85–7.10) 0.096

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Dec 16, 2016 | Posted by in CARDIOLOGY | Comments Off on Long-Term Prognosis of First Myocardial Infarction According to the Electrocardiographic Pattern (ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction, Non-ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction and Non-Classified Myocardial Infarction) and Revascularization Procedures

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