Summary
Background
In February 2013, a retired French professor of medicine published a book denying the benefits of statins for cardiovascular prevention. The book was the subject of extensive media coverage and multiple public discussions and debate.
Aims
To investigate the impact of this media event on use of statins among regular users.
Methods
This repeated cohort study used the French claims database sample Échantillon généraliste des bénéficiaires to identify regular statin users and quantify the number who discontinued statins after February 2013, compared to discontinuation patterns in previous years (2011 and 2012). Discontinuation was defined as a gap of at least 2 months without statin exposure.
Results
In 2013, 30,725 regular statin users were identified; 29,517 in 2012 and 28,272 in 2011. Statin discontinuation at 9-month follow-up in 2013 was 11.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11.5–12.2), compared with 8.5% (95% CI 8.2–8.8) in 2012 and 8.5% (95% CI 8.2–8.8) in 2011. Discontinuation varied according to cardiovascular risk: 19.4% (95% CI 18.2–20.6) in low risk, 11.6% (95% CI 11.1–12.0) in moderate risk, and 7.4% (95% CI 6.8–8.1) in high risk for the 2013 cohort. These discontinuation rates were, respectively, 1.53 (95% CI 1.36–1.72), 1.40 (95% CI 1.31–1.49), and 1.25 (95% CI 1.08–1.46) times higher in 2013 than in 2012 for low risk, moderate risk, or high risk patients.
Conclusions
The rate of statin discontinuation, overall and in each cardiovascular risk group, was greater in 2013 after the media event than in previous years. The clinical impact of the increased discontinuation could be important.
Résumé
Contexte
En février 2013, un médecin français publie un livre polémique et de grande ampleur médiatique réfutant le bénéfice des statines en prévention cardiovasculaire.
Objectif
Estimer l’impact de cet événement médiatique sur l’utilisation des statines.
Méthodes
Étude de cohorte répétée à partir de l’échantillon représentatif de l’Assurance maladie française comparant l’incidence de l’arrêt des statines chez les utilisateurs réguliers après février 2013 à celle des années précédentes (2011 et 2012). L’arrêt des statines a été défini comme une absence de délivrance d’au moins deux mois après une période d’exposition aux statines.
Résultats
En 2013, 30 725 utilisateurs réguliers de statines ont été identifiés (29 517 en 2012 et 28 272 en 2011). L’incidence de l’arrêt des statines à 9 mois de suivi en 2013 était de 11,9 % (intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 11,5–12,2), de 8,5 % (8,2–8,8) en 2012 et de 8,5 % en 2011 (8,2–8,8). Cette incidence variait en fonction du risque cardiovasculaire : 19,4 % (18,2–20,6) chez les patients à faible risque, 11,6 % (11,1–12,0) chez ceux à risque modéré et 7,4 % (6,8–8,1) chez ceux à haut risque en 2013. Ces taux d’incidence était respectivement 1,53 (1,36–1,72), 1,40 (1,31–1,49) et 1,25 (1,08–1,46) fois plus élevée en 2013 qu’en 2012 pour les patients à faible risque, à risque modéré ou à risque élevé.
Conclusion
Le taux d’incidence de l’arrêt des statines, globalement et dans chaque groupe de risque cardiovasculaire, était plus élevé en 2013 après l’événement médiatique que dans les années précédentes.
Background
Hydroxymethylglutaryl-coA reductase inhibitors, or statins, have demonstrated efficacy in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease , yet their efficacy in primary prevention may be more controversial . In February 2013, a retired French professor of medicine published a book entitled “ La vérité sur le cholesterol ” (The truth about cholesterol) arguing that cholesterol is not linked to cardiovascular diseases and refuting the validity of all studies concluding to an efficacy of statins for cardiovascular prevention . Interviews with the author for the promotion of the book were widely broadcast in a variety of media . Health authorities and scientists from the medical community protested against his theory, considered dangerous for public health . An interview-based investigation showed that approximately one-quarter of statin users interviewed in March 2013 during consultations with a cardiologist intended to discontinue statin treatment . As only a small number of patients were included and were interviewed only on their intention to discontinue treatment, the objective of the present study was to investigate the real impact of this extensive media outpouring on discontinuation in formerly regular users of statins. To this intent, we used the national healthcare system claims database sample to identify regular statin users and quantify the number who discontinued statins after February 2013, compared with discontinuation patterns in previous years.
Methods
Study design
This repeated cohort study used data from the French health insurance database sample ( Échantillon généraliste des bénéficiaires [EGB]). The inclusion period for the 2013 cohort was from 1 February 2012 to 31 January 2013 and the follow-up period was from 1 February 2013 to 31 October 2013. To provide baseline information on trends in statin use in the French population, two reference cohorts corresponding to the two years previous to the media event (2011 and 2012) were constituted using the same design and the same definition of inclusion and follow-up periods ( Fig. 1 ).
Data source
The data were extracted from the EGB, a 1/97th representative sample of the population covered by the French national healthcare insurance system . This database contains individual anonymous information on:
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sex, year of birth, area of residence;
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outpatient reimbursed healthcare expenditures, such as drugs with date of dispensing, drug strength and quantity dispensed;
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registration for a list of 30 long-term disease groups (LTD) with date and ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision) code, which concern chronic conditions for which all healthcare expenses are fully reimbursed;
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hospital-discharge summaries (from the Programme de médicalisation des systèmes d’information ), with ICD-10 codes for main, related and associated diagnosis, the date and duration of hospitalization, medical procedures;
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date but not cause of death, from the national death registry.
Study population
In each of the three cohorts, patients were included if they were regular users of statins during the year before inclusion (31 January) and were alive at the start of the follow-up period (1 February).
Regular users of statins (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical ATC codes: C10AA and C10B) were defined as patients with a proportion of days covered (PDC) > 80% during the year before inclusion. The PDC corresponds to the number of days in possession of statins divided by the number of days of follow-up. The number of days in possession of statins was calculated assuming use of one tablet per day. In the case of two overlapping exposure periods, the days of overlap were cumulated only if the two dispensations concerned the same statin. Owing to a potential lack of data concerning statin exposure during hospitalization, all periods of hospital stay were considered as exposed if the patient was in possession of drugs at the date of hospital admission .
Regular statin users were classified into three groups according to their cardiovascular risk during inclusion periods. The high cardiovascular risk patients had coronary heart disease (LTD No. 13 or hospital admission with main diagnosis ICD-10 codes I20.0, I21 or I24 ), or ischaemic stroke (LTD No. 1 – stroke – associated with ICD-10 code I63 or hospital admission with main diagnosis ICD-10 code I63). Moderate cardiovascular risk patients had at least one of the following: diabetes (LTD No. 8 or hospitalization with main diagnosis ICD-10 codes: E10, E11, E13 or E14), dispensation of antidiabetic drugs, antihypertensive drugs, anticoagulants (vitamin K antagonists or direct-acting anticoagulants) or antiplatelet agents. Low-risk patients included all other regular statin users not included in the first two groups.
Outcomes
The main outcome was the occurrence of statin discontinuation, measured as the occurrence of a gap of at least 2 months without statin exposure. Periods of statin exposure were estimated by number of days in possession of statins after each dispensation as defined in the eligibility criteria. The date of discontinuation corresponded to the estimated last day of treatment covered by the last dispensation before the gap.
Statistical analyses
The three cohorts were described according to age at inclusion, sex, comorbidities, cardiovascular treatments and cardiovascular risk groups. Statin discontinuation in the total population and among the three cardiovascular risk groups was described using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. Discontinuation rates were estimated at 9 months of follow-up. Relative risks were the ratio of statin discontinuation or mortality rates between 2013 and 2012, and between 2012 and 2011, with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
All analyses were performed using SAS ® software (SAS Institute, version 9.4, North Carolina, USA).
Ethical approval
In accordance with regulations in place at the time of the study, the National Institute of Health and Medical Research ( Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale ) was informed of the study that was to be performed using the EGB database. There was no further requirement for ethical approval or data protection agency approval for this study, which was done in fully anonymized data.
Results
In total, 30,725 patients were included in the 2013 cohort, and 29,517 in the 2012 and 28,272 in the 2011 reference cohorts ( Fig. 2 ). There was no relevant difference over the different study years in patient characteristics at inclusion. In the 2013 cohort, the median (interquartile range) age was 68 (61–77) years, 54.0% were men and 67.7% were in the moderate-risk group ( Table 1 ). Before inclusion, the proportions of regular statin users compared to all statin users were similar in the successive cohorts (60.1% in 2013, 59.6% in 2012 and 58.9% in 2011).
2013 cohort | Reference cohorts | ||
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n = 30,725 | 2012 n = 29,517 | 2011 n = 28,272 | |
Men, n (%) | 16,584 (54.0) | 15,881 (53.8) | 15,200 (53.8) |
Age at inclusion, years, median (IQR) | 68 (61–77) | 68 (61–77) | 68 (60–77) |
Cardiovascular disease at inclusion, n (%) | |||
Coronary disease | 5448 (17.7) | 5209 (17.6) | 5035 (17.8) |
Ischemic stroke | 331 (1.1) | 305 (1.0) | 292 (1.0) |
Diabetes | 7273 (23.7) | 6616 (22.4) | 6068 (21.5) |
Cardiovascular comedication in the year before inclusion, n (%) | |||
Anticoagulants | 2740 (8.9) | 2555 (8.7) | 2424 (8.6) |
Antiplatelet agents | 13,809 (44.9) | 13,000 (44.0) | 12,244 (43.3) |
Antihypertensive drugs | 24,376 (79.3) | 23,247 (78.8) | 22,232 (78.6) |
Antidiabetic drugs | 8775 (28.6) | 8147 (27.6) | 7649 (27.1) |
Cardiovascular risk factor group, n (%) | |||
High risk | 5728 (18.6) | 5478 (18.6) | 5295 (18.7) |
Moderate risk | 20,803 (67.7) | 19,832 (67.2) | 18,862 (66.7) |
Low risk | 4194 (13.7) | 4207 (14.3) | 4115 (14.6) |